{"version":"leverage-allocation-v1","createdAt":"2026-09-12T21:05:05.588Z","start":1640995200000,"end":1788220799999,"methods":[{"id":"boost_swing","name":"14일 돌파 + 기존 부스팅","kind":"스윙","rule":"완료 4시간봉 14일 모멘텀·3일 돌파·연도별 과거 학습 부스팅 ≥0.1R. 2.5 ATR 손절·추적, 모멘텀 반전 또는 30일 종료."},{"id":"channel_swing","name":"20일 채널 추세","kind":"스윙","rule":"완료 4시간봉 20일 채널 돌파, 2.5 ATR 초기 손절·추적, 반대 10일 채널 이탈 또는 30일 종료."},{"id":"q_daily","name":"쿨라마기 응용 · 일봉 돌파","kind":"스윙","rule":"20일 상승 ≥15%, 10일선>20일선, 직전 5일 범위가 이전 10일 범위의 75% 이하, 5일 고점 돌파·거래량 20일 평균 1.5배. 당일 저점 손절. 3일 뒤 절반 매도·잔량 본전 손절, 10일선 종가 이탈 또는 30일 종료. 롱만."},{"id":"q_flag","name":"쿨라마기 응용 · 15분 깃발","kind":"스윙","rule":"전일 기준 20일 상승 ≥15%·10일선>20일선. 직전 16개 15분봉 범위가 이전 32봉 범위의 75% 이하, 그 고점 돌파·거래량 32봉 평균 1.5배. 깃발 저점 손절. 3일 뒤 절반·본전, 10일선 이탈 또는 15일 종료. 롱만."},{"id":"breakout_day","name":"15분 돌파 + EMA 방향","kind":"단타","rule":"직전 32봉 고점·저점 돌파, EMA50·200 방향 일치. 2 ATR 손절, 2R 절반 익절 후 본전·2 ATR 추적. 8시간 종료."},{"id":"pullback_day","name":"15분 EMA 눌림목","kind":"단타","rule":"EMA20·50·200 정렬 방향으로 종가가 EMA20을 재돌파. 1.5 ATR 손절, 2R 절반 익절 후 본전·2 ATR 추적. 8시간 종료."},{"id":"vwap_day","name":"24시간 VWAP 회귀","kind":"단타","rule":"EMA50·200 간격 <1 ATR인 구간에서 종가가 직전 24시간 거래량 가중 평균 ±2σ 밖에서 안으로 복귀. 1.5 ATR 손절, 진입 신호 VWAP 전량 익절. 8시간 종료."},{"id":"orb_day","name":"UTC 첫 1시간 범위 돌파","kind":"단타","rule":"UTC 00–01시 범위를 01–04시 종가가 돌파하고 EMA200 방향 일치. 반대 범위 끝 손절, 2R 절반·본전·2 ATR 추적. 하루·종목당 첫 신호만, 8시간 종료."},{"id":"regime_day","name":"단타 국면 조합","kind":"단타","rule":"EMA50·200 간격 ≥2 ATR이면 15분 돌파, <1 ATR이면 VWAP 회귀. 중간은 대기. 진입 때 선택한 청산 규칙 유지."}],"policies":[{"id":"risk1","name":"손절 예산 1%","risk":0.01},{"id":"risk2","name":"손절 예산 2%","risk":0.02},{"id":"risk4","name":"손절 예산 4%","risk":0.04},{"id":"margin25","name":"증거금 25%","margin":0.25},{"id":"margin50","name":"증거금 50%","margin":0.5},{"id":"margin90","name":"증거금 90%","margin":0.9}],"combinations":[{"method":"boost_swing","policy":"risk1","leverage":5},{"method":"boost_swing","policy":"risk1","leverage":10},{"method":"boost_swing","policy":"risk2","leverage":5},{"method":"boost_swing","policy":"risk2","leverage":10},{"method":"boost_swing","policy":"risk4","leverage":5},{"method":"boost_swing","policy":"risk4","leverage":10},{"method":"boost_swing","policy":"margin25","leverage":5},{"method":"boost_swing","policy":"margin25","leverage":10},{"method":"boost_swing","policy":"margin50","leverage":5},{"method":"boost_swing","policy":"margin50","leverage":10},{"method":"boost_swing","policy":"margin90","leverage":5},{"method":"boost_swing","policy":"margin90","leverage":10},{"method":"channel_swing","policy":"risk1","leverage":5},{"method":"channel_swing","policy":"risk1","leverage":10},{"method":"channel_swing","policy":"risk2","leverage":5},{"method":"channel_swing","policy":"risk2","leverage":10},{"method":"channel_swing","policy":"risk4","leverage":5},{"method":"channel_swing","policy":"risk4","leverage":10},{"method":"channel_swing","policy":"margin25","leverage":5},{"method":"channel_swing","policy":"margin25","leverage":10},{"method":"channel_swing","policy":"margin50","leverage":5},{"method":"channel_swing","policy":"margin50","leverage":10},{"method":"channel_swing","policy":"margin90","leverage":5},{"method":"channel_swing","policy":"margin90","leverage":10},{"method":"q_daily","policy":"risk1","leverage":5},{"method":"q_daily","policy":"risk1","leverage":10},{"method":"q_daily","policy":"risk2","leverage":5},{"method":"q_daily","policy":"risk2","leverage":10},{"method":"q_daily","policy":"risk4","leverage":5},{"method":"q_daily","policy":"risk4","leverage":10},{"method":"q_daily","policy":"margin25","leverage":5},{"method":"q_daily","policy":"margin25","leverage":10},{"method":"q_daily","policy":"margin50","leverage":5},{"method":"q_daily","policy":"margin50","leverage":10},{"method":"q_daily","policy":"margin90","leverage":5},{"method":"q_daily","policy":"margin90","leverage":10},{"method":"q_flag","policy":"risk1","leverage":5},{"method":"q_flag","policy":"risk1","leverage":10},{"method":"q_flag","policy":"risk2","leverage":5},{"method":"q_flag","policy":"risk2","leverage":10},{"method":"q_flag","policy":"risk4","leverage":5},{"method":"q_flag","policy":"risk4","leverage":10},{"method":"q_flag","policy":"margin25","leverage":5},{"method":"q_flag","policy":"margin25","leverage":10},{"method":"q_flag","policy":"margin50","leverage":5},{"method":"q_flag","policy":"margin50","leverage":10},{"method":"q_flag","policy":"margin90","leverage":5},{"method":"q_flag","policy":"margin90","leverage":10},{"method":"breakout_day","policy":"risk1","leverage":5},{"method":"breakout_day","policy":"risk1","leverage":10},{"method":"breakout_day","policy":"risk2","leverage":5},{"method":"breakout_day","policy":"risk2","leverage":10},{"method":"breakout_day","policy":"risk4","leverage":5},{"method":"breakout_day","policy":"risk4","leverage":10},{"method":"breakout_day","policy":"margin25","leverage":5},{"method":"breakout_day","policy":"margin25","leverage":10},{"method":"breakout_day","policy":"margin50","leverage":5},{"method":"breakout_day","policy":"margin50","leverage":10},{"method":"breakout_day","policy":"margin90","leverage":5},{"method":"breakout_day","policy":"margin90","leverage":10},{"method":"pullback_day","policy":"risk1","leverage":5},{"method":"pullback_day","policy":"risk1","leverage":10},{"method":"pullback_day","policy":"risk2","leverage":5},{"method":"pullback_day","policy":"risk2","leverage":10},{"method":"pullback_day","policy":"risk4","leverage":5},{"method":"pullback_day","policy":"risk4","leverage":10},{"method":"pullback_day","policy":"margin25","leverage":5},{"method":"pullback_day","policy":"margin25","leverage":10},{"method":"pullback_day","policy":"margin50","leverage":5},{"method":"pullback_day","policy":"margin50","leverage":10},{"method":"pullback_day","policy":"margin90","leverage":5},{"method":"pullback_day","policy":"margin90","leverage":10},{"method":"vwap_day","policy":"risk1","leverage":5},{"method":"vwap_day","policy":"risk1","leverage":10},{"method":"vwap_day","policy":"risk2","leverage":5},{"method":"vwap_day","policy":"risk2","leverage":10},{"method":"vwap_day","policy":"risk4","leverage":5},{"method":"vwap_day","policy":"risk4","leverage":10},{"method":"vwap_day","policy":"margin25","leverage":5},{"method":"vwap_day","policy":"margin25","leverage":10},{"method":"vwap_day","policy":"margin50","leverage":5},{"method":"vwap_day","policy":"margin50","leverage":10},{"method":"vwap_day","policy":"margin90","leverage":5},{"method":"vwap_day","policy":"margin90","leverage":10},{"method":"orb_day","policy":"risk1","leverage":5},{"method":"orb_day","policy":"risk1","leverage":10},{"method":"orb_day","policy":"risk2","leverage":5},{"method":"orb_day","policy":"risk2","leverage":10},{"method":"orb_day","policy":"risk4","leverage":5},{"method":"orb_day","policy":"risk4","leverage":10},{"method":"orb_day","policy":"margin25","leverage":5},{"method":"orb_day","policy":"margin25","leverage":10},{"method":"orb_day","policy":"margin50","leverage":5},{"method":"orb_day","policy":"margin50","leverage":10},{"method":"orb_day","policy":"margin90","leverage":5},{"method":"orb_day","policy":"margin90","leverage":10},{"method":"regime_day","policy":"risk1","leverage":5},{"method":"regime_day","policy":"risk1","leverage":10},{"method":"regime_day","policy":"risk2","leverage":5},{"method":"regime_day","policy":"risk2","leverage":10},{"method":"regime_day","policy":"risk4","leverage":5},{"method":"regime_day","policy":"risk4","leverage":10},{"method":"regime_day","policy":"margin25","leverage":5},{"method":"regime_day","policy":"margin25","leverage":10},{"method":"regime_day","policy":"margin50","leverage":5},{"method":"regime_day","policy":"margin50","leverage":10},{"method":"regime_day","policy":"margin90","leverage":5},{"method":"regime_day","policy":"margin90","leverage":10}],"marketHash":"24ea0e30aceb63b1db1d947c51100d7449d4a60c5a00aa0e237dce1ad63818a2","scoreHash":"01cee4c1d606c1c5df6d23cf797a744abe5936eca7d3fd67af704e290fe6717f","sourceHashes":{"leverage_methods.cjs":"ea0d1d56f0dff86ed5be156bc3dcb572b8dc3824b60375ff8610e257773182c8","leverage_engine.cjs":"a14f9e700baa6198143e44ab7ba896560df68f77102870b9e1947db778c3c94d","research_leverage.cjs":"c498309827dad1efe639a9072c8e5ccd0cd7a0cf0f144bd52fd22829081a0f9e","trend_methods.cjs":"a9e4c4cecdb0595b5ddf17843d7c42689d42faf6641a2378d1a4da434be65255"},"allocation":"One concurrent position, $10,000 initial capital, isolated margin. Leverage5/10. Risk1/2/4% targets include initial stop/fee/slippage risk and cap margin at90%; fixed margin25/50/90% targets that equity fraction irrespective of stop risk. Every entry is capped at0.5% of the smaller of signal-bar volume and prior32-bar mean volume; target allocation can be underfilled. No leverage averaging, martingale, drawdown sizing, daily stop or loss-streak cooldown. Stop/gap losses can exceed the planned risk. If flat equity drops below1% of initial capital, remain in cash.","fills":"Signals from completed bars only; next15m open with adverse slippage. Reject wrong-side stops, open gaps over half initial stop distance, or stop beyond estimated liquidation. One candidate at a time, descending signal rank then alphabetical symbol. At same bar stop/target crossing, stop first; stop/liq crossing follows first reachable price threshold. Partial sells50% of remaining initial position once. Break-even/trail updated only for next bar. Final positions force-closed.","costs":"Per side fee0.045% + slippage0.02%. Cost stress doubles both. Actual historical funding rates, timestamps rounded to settlement hour; opening after settlement pays next settlement. Missing settlement intervals charged0.01% notional per missing payment, never credited. Funding debits isolated margin.","liquidation":"Approximation using traded OHLC as mark proxy, flat maintenance2.5%, entire remaining isolated margin forfeited at liquidation, no top-up. Separate liquidation stress uses5% maintenance and adverse0.5% mark deviation with ordinary fees. These are declared research assumptions, not historical Binance liquidation tiers or real matching-engine fills.","selection":"For each year2022–2026, use previous calendar year only: >=20 exits, positive ordinary and double-cost net return, MDD<=40%. Choose maximum log(1+return)-MDD; tie by method:policy:leverage; no eligible means cash. Each annual segment starts flat. Boost scores begin2022 so cannot win2021 selection.","shortlist":"Descriptive full-period screen: >=100 exits, ordinary and double-cost return positive, MDD<=40%, four of five annual periods positive. A screen pass is not independent validation.","limitations":["Data and strategy ideas have already been studied. This is exploratory comparison, not a pristine holdout or independent proof of an optimal strategy.","Same BTC/ETH/SOL universe controls this sizing comparison. No broader equity/crypto leader scan, point-in-time delistings or news-based EP are tested.","Qullamaggie-inspired rules are crypto adaptations, not a replication of his equity selection, discretionary pattern reading, opening session or claimed returns.","Real futures comparison covers2022-01 through2026-08, using2020 onward history for features. It is not a15-year futures test.2026 is partial.","No order-book capacity model, historical maintenance tiers, insurance fund mechanics or exchange outages. High-exposure compounded results may substantially overstate executable dollar returns.","Boosting uses existing year-specific past-trained scores only for the entry it was trained on. No current model is retroactively applied.","5/10x is position leverage. 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